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Prediction of fatal cardiovascular events in patients with newly diagnosed non-small cell lung cancer

https://doi.org/10.15829/15604071-2024-5877

EDN: XRNWDY

Abstract

Aim. To study risk factors for fatal cardiovascular events in patients with non-small cell lung cancer over two years of standard treatment.

Material and methods. This pilot retrospective non-randomized cohort study included 179 patients who were consecutively admitted to the chemotherapy department of City Clinical Hospital 1 from January to December 2020 with a confirmed diagnosis of non-small cell lung cancer based on the comprehensive examination and morphological verification according to the 2018 clinical guidelines on bronchial and lung cancer. Diagnosis and treatment of cardiovascular diseases were carried out according to national clinical guidelines. The follow-up period for non-small cell lung cancer and cardiovascular disease was 2 years. Logistic regression models were considered to assess the risk of cardiovascular death. The model accuracy was assessed by a cross-validation.

Results. The best model in terms of the sensitivity and specificity sum according to a cross-validation was the model with the following explanatory variables: sex, cancer stage, platinum-based chemotherapy, etoposide, immunotherapy, surgical treatment. This model showed a sensitivity of 70,1% and a specificity of 82,1%.

Conclusion. This approach is easy to implement and may optimize treatment for patients with non-small cell lung cancer.

About the Authors

A. A. Filippov
City Clinical Hospital № 1
Russian Federation

head of the polychemotherapy department

Novosibirsk


Competing Interests:

none



N. G. Lozhkina
City Clinical Hospital № 1; Federal Research Center for Fundamental and Translational Medicine; Novosibirsk National Research State University
Russian Federation

Professor, Head of Clinical and Experimental Cardiology Group, Federal State Budgetary Scientific Institution "Federal Research Center for Fundamental and Translational Medicine" (FRC FTM), Professor of the Immunology Department, Federal State Autonomous Educational Institution of Higher Professional Education "Novosibirsk National Research State University", Cardiologist, Supervisor of Department for treatment of patients with acute coronary syndrome of RCVC №1 of Municipal Clinical Hospital №1

Novosibirsk


Competing Interests:

none



E. I. Shefer
Sobolev Institute of Mathematics
Russian Federation

senior researcher,Institute of Mathematics named after S.L. Sobolev

Novosibirsk


Competing Interests:

none



P. S. Ruzankin
Sobolev Institute of Mathematics
Russian Federation

chief scientist, Institute of Mathematics named after S.L. Sobolev

Novosibirsk


Competing Interests:

none



M. I. Voevoda
Federal Research Center for Fundamental and Translational Medicine
Russian Federation

academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Doctor of Medical Sciences, Professor, Director of FRC FTM

Novosibirsk


Competing Interests:

none



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Supplementary files

  • Non-small cell lung cancer and cardiovascular diseases occur together in most patients, increasing the cumulative risk of fatal cardiovascular outcome.
  • The author's risk assessment model of a fatal cardiovascular outcome is proposed, constructed using the regression analysis of clinical, functional, biochemical, and pathomorphological parameters.
  • The risk assessment model of a fatal cardiovascular outcome is easy to use and allows for personalized management of patients with non-small cell lung cancer.

Review

For citations:


Filippov A.A., Lozhkina N.G., Shefer E.I., Ruzankin P.S., Voevoda M.I. Prediction of fatal cardiovascular events in patients with newly diagnosed non-small cell lung cancer. Russian Journal of Cardiology. 2024;29(7):5877. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.15829/15604071-2024-5877. EDN: XRNWDY

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ISSN 1560-4071 (Print)
ISSN 2618-7620 (Online)