russjcardiolРоссийский кардиологический журналRussian Journal of Cardiology1560-40712618-7620«SILICEA-POLIGRAF» LLCrussjcardiol-1820Research ArticleМЕТОДЫ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ ГОСПИТАЛЬНЫХ ИСХОДОВ ПРИ ОСТРОМ КОРОНАРНОМ СИНДРОМЕPredicting in-hospital outcomes in acute coronary syndromeСайгитовР. Т.SaygitovR. T.ГлезерМ. Г.GlezerM. G.СеменцовД. П.SementsovD. R.КостомароваИ. В.KostomarovaI. V.МалыгинаН. А.MalyginaN. A.Российский научноFисследовательский институт геронтологииRussian FederationНИЦ ММА им. И.М. Сеченова, городская клиническая больница №59Russian Federation200628042006024249Copyright © Сайгитов Р.Т., Глезер М.Г., Семенцов Д.П., Костомарова И.В., Малыгина Н.А., 20062006Сайгитов Р.Т., Глезер М.Г., Семенцов Д.П., Костомарова И.В., Малыгина Н.А.Saygitov R.T., Glezer M.G., Sementsov D.R., Kostomarova I.V., Malygina N.A.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://russjcardiol.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/1820

Предлагается прогностическая модель для оценки риска смерти у больных, госпитализируемых с острым коронарным синдромом (предполагаемый инфаркт миокарда или нестабильная стенокардия). Модель основана на использовании показателей, регистрируемых при поступлении пациента в стационар и расчета, с их помощью, вероятности развития летального события в период госпитального наблюдения. Величина вероятности позволяет формировать группы риска - от минимального (летальность < 1 %) до очень высокого (летальность >40 %). Данная технология отличается высокой эффективностью и воспроизводимостью результатов прогноза.

The authors propose a prognostic model for assessing death risk in patients hospitalized with acute coronary syndrome (possible myocardial infarction or unstable angina). The model is based on parameters registered at admission and further calculation of death risk during in-hospital follow-up period. This predicted risk gives a chance to divide patients into risk groups - with minimal (lethality <1 %) to maximal (lethality >40 %) risk. This highly effective technology provides reproducible prognostic results.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.